Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia

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Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia. / Larsen, Martin Vinæs.

I: Scandinavian Political Studies, Bind 39, Nr. 3, 2, 2016, s. 226-241.

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt

Harvard

Larsen, MV 2016, 'Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia', Scandinavian Political Studies, bind 39, nr. 3, 2, s. 226-241. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9477.12063

APA

Larsen, M. V. (2016). Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia. Scandinavian Political Studies, 39(3), 226-241. [2]. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9477.12063

Vancouver

Larsen MV. Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia. Scandinavian Political Studies. 2016;39(3):226-241. 2. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9477.12063

Author

Larsen, Martin Vinæs. / Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia. I: Scandinavian Political Studies. 2016 ; Bind 39, Nr. 3. s. 226-241.

Bibtex

@article{e0e6a38301f24ea0861a12e095af2300,
title = "Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia",
abstract = "Previous research has not been able to identify a relationship between objective economic indicators and support for governing parties in the Scandinavian countries. This is potentially problematic, as it suggests that political leaders are not held electorally accountable for the economic conditions they provide for their electorates. In this article, it is suggested that this null-finding is a result of the particularities of the Scandinavian electoral context, which makes it difficult to identify the effects of the economy on electoral support. To bolster this argument, the relationship between unemployment, economic growth and support for prime minister parties is re-examined in two datasets. The first is a dataset of Scandinavian elections, and the second is a yearly Danish vote function, which was constructed using election polls. Across both datasets, it is found that if one simply correlates support for the prime minister's party with economic conditions, there is no relationship; however, if one specifies a statistical model, which takes the Scandinavian context into account, it is possible to identify a statistically significant effect of economic conditions on electoral support. Based on this finding, the article concludes that economic conditions do shape electoral support for prime minister parties in Scandinavia.",
author = "Larsen, {Martin Vin{\ae}s}",
year = "2016",
doi = "10.1111/1467-9477.12063",
language = "English",
volume = "39",
pages = "226--241",
journal = "Scandinavian Political Studies",
issn = "0080-6757",
publisher = "Wiley-Blackwell",
number = "3",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Economic Conditions affect Support for Prime Minister Parties in Scandinavia

AU - Larsen, Martin Vinæs

PY - 2016

Y1 - 2016

N2 - Previous research has not been able to identify a relationship between objective economic indicators and support for governing parties in the Scandinavian countries. This is potentially problematic, as it suggests that political leaders are not held electorally accountable for the economic conditions they provide for their electorates. In this article, it is suggested that this null-finding is a result of the particularities of the Scandinavian electoral context, which makes it difficult to identify the effects of the economy on electoral support. To bolster this argument, the relationship between unemployment, economic growth and support for prime minister parties is re-examined in two datasets. The first is a dataset of Scandinavian elections, and the second is a yearly Danish vote function, which was constructed using election polls. Across both datasets, it is found that if one simply correlates support for the prime minister's party with economic conditions, there is no relationship; however, if one specifies a statistical model, which takes the Scandinavian context into account, it is possible to identify a statistically significant effect of economic conditions on electoral support. Based on this finding, the article concludes that economic conditions do shape electoral support for prime minister parties in Scandinavia.

AB - Previous research has not been able to identify a relationship between objective economic indicators and support for governing parties in the Scandinavian countries. This is potentially problematic, as it suggests that political leaders are not held electorally accountable for the economic conditions they provide for their electorates. In this article, it is suggested that this null-finding is a result of the particularities of the Scandinavian electoral context, which makes it difficult to identify the effects of the economy on electoral support. To bolster this argument, the relationship between unemployment, economic growth and support for prime minister parties is re-examined in two datasets. The first is a dataset of Scandinavian elections, and the second is a yearly Danish vote function, which was constructed using election polls. Across both datasets, it is found that if one simply correlates support for the prime minister's party with economic conditions, there is no relationship; however, if one specifies a statistical model, which takes the Scandinavian context into account, it is possible to identify a statistically significant effect of economic conditions on electoral support. Based on this finding, the article concludes that economic conditions do shape electoral support for prime minister parties in Scandinavia.

U2 - 10.1111/1467-9477.12063

DO - 10.1111/1467-9477.12063

M3 - Journal article

VL - 39

SP - 226

EP - 241

JO - Scandinavian Political Studies

JF - Scandinavian Political Studies

SN - 0080-6757

IS - 3

M1 - 2

ER -

ID: 155830653